Will monkey beat Minecraft before we get AGI?
Mini
6
Ṁ18712042
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if monkey beats minecraft first (according criteria outline here)
Resolves NO if we make AGI first
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?
85% chance
Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?
89% chance
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2026?
11% chance
Will AI wipe out monkeys by 2030?
6% chance
AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2029?
50% chance
AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2028?
30% chance
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029?
80% chance
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2027?
40% chance
Will Monkey wipe out humanity before the year 2050?
4% chance
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2028?
65% chance