Which pollsters will get the 2024 Presidential Election right? (PV difference within 3%)
3
Ṁ415Nov 6
1D
1W
1M
ALL
67%
YouGov
63%
Quinnipiac
63%
HarrisX
63%
CBS News
63%
Emerson
63%
Morning Consult
63%
Ipsos
63%
Marist
63%
FOX News
63%
Siena
54%
Rasmussen Reports
50%
Harvard-Harris
50%
TIPP
50%
Suffolk
50%
Data for Progress
41%
Atlas Intel
Resolves based on the most recent national poll before the election released by each pollster. If the difference in popular vote percentage between Harris and Trump in the poll is more than 3% off from the final result, resolves false.
If a pollster has polls financed by different sponsors, I will average out the most recent poll from each (as long as they ended within 2 weeks of the most recent poll of that pollster, to avoid errors from older polls)
May resolve after the counting is complete and recounts are done if the results are unclear or too close.
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