Government coalition following the 2024 Saxony state election?
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Ṁ1437
Nov 28
77%
CDU+BSW+SPD
12%
Other
4%
CDU+SPD
3%
CDU+SPD+Greens (continuation)
1.3%
CDU+BSW+Greens
1.2%
AfD+BSW
1%
AfD+CDU

Resolves to the coalition of the next government following the 2024 Saxony state election on September 1.

Close date might be adapted.

The order and vote numbers are not relevant for this question. For example, AfD+CDU is the same as CDU+AfD.

Related: /marktwse/which-party-will-be-in-the-governme-679c889841e7

Elections: WorldGermanyGerman Politics
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I mirrored the question to Metaculus.

sold Ṁ4 Other YES

These are the possibilities:

How big is the risk that the SPD will not even be available for a coalition?

CDU+SPD

The current government is CDU + SPD + Greens, so it would not be a continuation if I interpret it correctly.

@HannesLynchburg Oops. You are right. 😊 Fixed it. Thanks for the hint.

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