Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?
➕
Plus
87
Ṁ19k
resolved Nov 7
Resolved
YES
@jim Poly’s at 80%, Jim’s order’s in!
upgraded!
Previous results in New York: 2020: Biden +23 2016: Clinton +22 2012: Obama +28 2008: Obama +27 2004: Kerry +18 2000: Gore +25 1996: Clinton +29 1992: Clinton +16 1988: Dukakis +4

Resolves YES if Kamala Harris wins New York state by 10.0% (or more).

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@mattyb we’re now >95%, and the lead is still 12%. I don’t see a >=2pt slip when the vote is essentially fully counted, and it didn’t move an inch from 92% => 95%.

This Resolves YES.

It’s 92% counted and a 12% lead. I’m going to wait for tomorrow, or >95%, or a Poly resolve, but quite likely going to be a YES.

@mattyb we’re now >95%, and the lead is still 12%. I don’t see a >=2pt slip when the vote is essentially fully counted, and it didn’t move an inch from 92% => 95%.

This Resolves YES.

bought Ṁ200 YES

Previous results in New York:

2020: Biden +23

2016: Clinton +22

2012: Obama +28

2008: Obama +27

2004: Kerry +18

2000: Gore +25

1996: Clinton +29

1992: Clinton +16

1988: Dukakis +4

reposted

upgraded!

opened aṀ1,000NO at 50% order
reposted

@jim Poly’s at 80%, Jim’s order’s in!

@mattyb 😆

@jim /market

reposted

Related: my question asking about a 20-point win: https://manifold.markets/MichaelEdgar/will-kamala-harris-win-the-new-york