[Metaculus] Will SpaceX's Super Heavy booster make contact with the catch tower during the l...integrated flight test 5?
6
Ṁ405
Oct 31
64%
chance

Will SpaceX's Super Heavy booster make contact with the catch tower during the landing phase of Starship integrated flight test 5?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if, during integrated flight test 5 (IFT-5), SpaceX attempts to catch the first stage of Starship, the Super Heavy booster, with a launch and catch tower, and the booster makes contact with the tower during the landing attempt. If no such attempt and contact is made during IFT-5, the question will resolve as No. If IFT-5 does not occur before October 1, 2024, the question will be annulled.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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