By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
๐Ÿ’Ž
Premium
78
แน€150k
2026
1.6%
10
33%
12
87%
20
Resolved
NO
6
Resolved
NO
8
Resolved
NO
7
Resolved
NO
9

Both must be on solid ground or a landing ship, mostly intact, and stationary, on the same flight. Starship must have flown to over 100 km on that flight.

For details, this question will use the same criteria as these:

/chrisjbillington/will-spacex-land-a-spaceflown-stars

/chrisjbillington/will-spacex-land-a-super-heavy-boos

/EvanDaniel/which-happens-first-starship-superh

Answers are for "on or before flight number X", so if they succeed on flight 11, then answers 11, 12, 13, etc. all resolve Yes, regardless of the outcome of flight 12.

I'll add more answers as future flights approach, as indicated by prices on existing answers.

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Can you add an option for 11?

@SimonWestlake I'm not sure I want to spend the mana on that, but I made it so or people can add options. Go for it if you want!

9 Resolves No

bought แน€200 9 NO

@EvanDaniel 8 resolves NO

@RyanTyznar alright, I can resolve on behalf of Evan.

@Eliza any chance you can resolve this one too?

I think adding 11 is worthwhile now given the distribution currently puts it at about 60-70%

@RyanTyznar agreed!

7 Resolves No

@EvanDaniel
6 can resolve no