When will ClaudePlaysPokemon defeat Giovanni in Silph Co? (Extended)
5
Ṁ1191
2026
12%
Before Dec 16
25%
Before Dec 19
35%
Before Dec 23
50%
Before Dec 30
59%
Before Jan 6, 2026
67%
Before Jan 13
72%
Before Jan 20
75%
Before Jan 27
78%
Before Feb 3
80%
Before Feb 10

All dates are Pacific Time. Based on the current Opus 4.5 run only; if it is reset before defeating Giovanni all answers resolve NO.

ClaudePokemon
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
2 Comments
Sort by:
bought Ṁ40 Before Feb 10 YES

I realized a bug in the mathematical model I was using and the updated version is slightly more optimistic!

Note that the buckets aren't equal here; they get larger at first and then they're a week each.

Related questions