Will I ever get to the Masters League this year on Manifold?
24
Ṁ8086
Dec 31
6%
chance

Resolution criteria

  • Resolves YES if, at any point from now through December 31, 2025 my Manifold account is listed in the Masters division for any league season.

This is my past history:

January : Bronze rank 13 (20 mana )

February: Bronze rank 13 (20 mana)

March: Bronze rank 1 (1267 mana)

April: Gold rank 2 (1299 mana)

May:Platinum rank 4 (1038 mana)

June: Diamond rank 6 (887 mana)

July: Diamond rank 4 (2022 mana)

August: Diamond rank 6 (1369 mana)

Personal GoalsManifoldFunManifold UsersManifold User RetentionUnranked
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
19 Comments
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bought Ṁ500 NO

yeah tbf it was kinda dumb for me to put sm on No

boughtṀ20YES

@vdb wanna bet more

@musuko384 You got a plan how to be in the masters league?

@vdb no cuz if i get into masters ill lose over 3k from this market

@musuko384 You got a plan how to stay out of the masters league?

bought Ṁ50 NO at 2%

@vdb 😭😭

By my calculations, by plotting the mana you have on each month of the year on Desmos, I have figured that you will achieve 2602 mana by December, enough to rise to the tops of the master rank. Only if you stay on track.

bought Ṁ100 NO

@JavaLP0721 but then i would lose over 3k on this market….

boughtṀ200NO

@AnT W ender

@musuko384 matching Bayesian's bets

@AnT alas that is the opposite of my bets

@Bayesian 💀

boughtṀ496NO

@musuko384 why

@Bayesian Paradox: if it looks like he won't promote, he'll make enough mana on this market to promote, but then the market goes up and he loses mana, so it will look like he won't promote...

opened a Ṁ326 NO at 50% order

welllll this market should probably be unranked

i checked the guidelines and yes leagues markets are to be unranked so i did

@ItsMe u fr the type of person to ask a teacher to give hw holy shit

@Bayesian yeah its fine for it to be unranked

@musuko384 what

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