Will Manifold users think that sweepstakes markets are real money markets?
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20
แน€9184
resolved Oct 22
Resolved
YES

I will create a poll 1 month after the soft launch of sweepstakes.

The question will be "If you could withdraw cash prizes, would you consider Sweep Cash markets to be real money markets?"

The answers will be Yes, No, and See Results/No opinion

Resolves N/A if no sweepstakes, or users cannot withdraw cash prizes.

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bought แน€5,453 YES

https://manifold.markets/nikki/if-you-could-withdraw-cash-prizes-w

not even close

bought แน€250 YES

Seems pretty obviously yes to me - the company has legal reasons to maintain that there's a distinction, but it's essentially a real money market with a couple extra steps.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 It depends how often SG repeats the phrase "this is not real-money betting" and whether it appears on every single page as a popup. ๐Ÿ˜‚

@TimothyJohnson5c16 legally it's a contest or sweepstake

reposted

Manifold the company doesn't think so, but do the users?

@nikki Is today the soft launch? So the poll would be on 17 October?

@Eliza Yes

@nikki which ones are the sweepstakes markets ?

@Odoacre https://manifold.markets/home?sw=1

@robm thanks. Is it just me or are there only two sweepmarkets?

@Odoacre Indeed

@Odoacre There are some unlisted ones but they seem to be closed for trading.

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