Gemini 3 releases before Deepseek V4?
16
Ṁ1029Dec 31
76%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if the next major Gemini version comes out before the next major Deepseek version. These are expected to be called Gemini 3 and Deepseek v4 respectively.
Major version = new base model, usually accompanied by architectural changes and an increase in the integer part of the model version (e.g. 2.5->3 or 3.1->4).
If R2 comes out before V4 I’ll count that as the next major Deepseek version.
If either company changes the naming scheme I’ll make a call based on the paper, model card, blog post, and other available info.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Gemini 3.0 released before October 31?
43% chance
When will Google release Gemini 3?
Gemini 3 releases October 22?
19% chance
Gemini 3.0 released in November 2025?
44% chance
Google announces Gemini 3.0 by Oct 19, 2025?
11% chance
What day of the week will Gemini 3 be released?
Gemini 3.0 released before November 15?
66% chance
Google Gemini 3 Pro Release Date
-
Gemini 3.0 released before November 30?
78% chance
Gemini 3 by EOY?
94% chance