Will SpaceX be more valuable than Tesla by the end of 2025
➕
Plus
22
Ṁ4038
Dec 31
8%
chance

If they both are public companies, the market will resolve to YES if SpaceX has a higher market cap and NO if Tesla has a higher market cap. If either is private, it will resolve based on secondary prices. If both are bankrupt, market resolves to n/a

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
1 Comment
Sort by:
predicts NO

SpaceX current valuation is 137 billion. Tesla’s is 354 billion. I would guess the base rate of two companies with those valuations flipping over a 3-year period is pretty low.

Related questions