Will an AI-generated #memefold meme win a monthly poll in 2025?
12
Ṁ1137
Dec 31
33%
chance

@strutheo runs monthly polls. Earlier examples:

https://manifold.markets/strutheo/which-will-be-the-best-meme-posted-l8ygShIuzg (January)

https://manifold.markets/strutheo/which-will-be-the-best-meme-posted-OhzSUlSALE (February)

https://manifold.markets/strutheo/which-will-be-the-best-meme-posted-shAZ9tpypg (March)

This market will include all monthly polls by @strutheo up to and including December.

Will the winning meme image be direct output from ChatGPT's image generator, or similar AI-based image generation service? The prompting can be arbitrarily specific/complex (including image inputs), but if the output image has been substantially edited or post-processed through non-AI means, that doesn't count.

In the event of uncertainty, the author of the meme(s) in question will be asked whether they used AI. (They don't have to prove AI was used, I'll take their word for it and/or use my own judgement)

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opened a Ṁ10,000 NO at 50% order

no

If it wins, it's bc of the novelty IMO and not on its own merits