Which countries will the USA bomb through 2028?
Mini
47
Ṁ4667
2028
24%
Libya
18%
Pakistan
11%
Afghanistan
8%
China
8%
Cuba
8%
Russia
8%
Egypt
6%
Jordan
6%
Mexico
5%
North Korea
3%
Israel
Resolved
YES
Iran
Resolved
YES
Syria
Resolved
YES
Yemen
Resolved
YES
Iraq

bomb a country = missile, rocket, bomb, drone or similar attack on the territory of the country of at least ten missiles/rockets/bombs/drones in a continuous 12-month period

(must be on or after market creation date)

🇺🇸 US Politics️ Wars
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7 Comments
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Libya

@shankypanky Libya.

@TiredCliche ack, what a silly transposition. thanks I've fixed it

bought Ṁ300 Syria YES

@skibidist Syria can resolve YES: https://www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/2024/12/9/us-announces-air-strikes-on-isil-targets-in-syria-sfter-al-assadss-fall

@Arky Sure, however:

APIError: Independent multiple choice markets cannot currently be resolved

Iraq

@skibidist https://twitter.com/jhaboush/status/1818409801358950718

I find the 'purely defensive action on the territory of an invaded country' to be confusing. It makes me pause on predicting this market. Would the recent bombing you Yemen by the US count a defensive if this market had been created before it happened? what about the recent bombing in Iraq?

@FakeMoney I removed that line. Neither case you mention would have fallen under the exception. I agree it was confusing and the market is better without it.

(If an existing bettor thinks they lost money due to the change, I’m happy to compensate)

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