🔗LINK: Tracking Spreadsheet
This market works as follows. Each answer represents one investment idea. Each answer will eventually resolve to a percent, which will be the ROI after 12 months starting on Jan 1 2026.
Each 1% above/below the midpoint represents 1 point gained/lost over 12 months.
100% indicates a return of +50%
80% indicates a return of +30%
70% indicates a return of +20%
50% indicates a return of 0%
30% indicates a return of -20%
20% indicates a return of -30%
0% indicates a return of -50%
On Jan 1st I'll put $500 into each of the top 10 choices on this list. If there is any profit after 12 months, I will share 5% of it among the top 5 spots on this market's leaderboard!
Additional Rules
Must be able to be easily invested in by an average USA citizen
I reserve the right to refuse any suggestion
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Update 2025-12-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator may extend the market close date by one month if there is insufficient trading activity or uncertainty before making the investment purchases.
@strutheo a far better idea is to put everything into a total stock market index fund. I have no idea what some cool 30 stocks will do in a year.
Evidence is very clear, however, that over 30 years the cool 30 is almost certain to underperform the total stock market index.
@Gen I also request Tylenol producer Kenvue KVUE but you don't have to add it if you don't want to. It may be acquired by Kimberly-Clark for a stock/cash combo, which might be annoying to track
The deal is $3.50 per share + 0.14625 KMB shares
If they settled tomorrow it would be worth ~$18.70 per share which is only +12% for KVUE, so if you don't want to include it don't worry. Someone else will see more growth elsewher and I won't be buying it super high