☀️What will happen in June 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
Mini
65
Ṁ6400
2 hours ago
22%
a tesla catches fire as reported by mainstream news
15%
🏳️‍🌈 5-10 fortune 100 companies change their logos for Pride
13%
🏳️‍🌈 >=11 fortune 100 companies Pride-ify logo
Resolved
YES
100F temperature in nyc at least one day
Resolved
YES
noam chomsky alive until end of month
Resolved
YES
nVidia becomes the largest company in the history of the world (by market capitalization) at least once
Resolved
YES
trump leaves usa at least once
Resolved
YES
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%
Resolved
YES
Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive during the entire month
Resolved
YES
at least 3 xkcd comics with no stick figures in it
Resolved
YES
large tech company announces layoffs by my judgement
Resolved
YES
dick cheney still alive at end of month
Resolved
YES
Sam Altman still CEO through end of month
Resolved
YES
NASDAQ hits an all time high
Resolved
YES
american airstrike or drone strike or missle strike on iran
Resolved
YES
Resolved
YES
trump posts on twitter/x ten or more times
Resolved
YES
🏳️‍🌈 1-4 fortune 100 companies change their logos for Pride

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

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bought Ṁ20 nVidia becomes the l... YES
sold Ṁ2 nVidia becomes the l... NO

@JBSIyg2 Yeah, that would knock me off my NO position.

I reserve the right to be wrong, though. Perhaps my highest benchmark research was wrong.

100F temperature in nyc at least one day

Ah well no crane collapse in a US city market.
(Masseys Starbase)

trump leaves usa at least once
bought Ṁ49 trump leaves usa at ... YES

@strutheo Resolves YES

The volcano one should be 99%

@CraigTalbert dormant is a pretty strict constraint

@JussiVilleHeiskanen Mount Etna's last eruption prior to the current one was on in 2021. What am I missing?

@CraigTalbert Etna is considered active. Dormant doesn't mean between eruptions. Means not venting etc...

@JussiVilleHeiskanen it seems like we’re using two versions of “dormant.” If you’re using a strict definition then the questions doesn’t make sense as it would have to have to no activity for decades. So when you say “dormant for half a year” it implies no eruptions.

@CraigTalbert yes I botched the wording but after writing it found out that dormant is a technical term. And when a word has a precise sense, it is better to go with it even when things become confusing. My bad.

reposted

june soon

bought Ṁ5 Answer #ZqncUUd6CZ NO

Pride logo prop bets: from last year, seemed around 10 companies:

https://www.yellopolitics.com/p/some-brands-didnt-do-rainbow-logos , some of them are collected in a Figma community: https://www.figma.com/community/file/1401846671670337559/pride-month-2024-400-brands-changed-logos-to-support-lgbtqia (missing some)

any opposition to counting Twitter/X and Instagram (and not Bluesky) as our representative social networks for the “how many logos” prop bets?

On June 15 I’ll do a tally by collecting a list of F100 companies, then checking each brand account on Insta and Twitter.

  • American F100 only, right?

the votes are in! i went through the top 100 rows of the fortune 500 USA company spreadsheet and manually checked their corporate logos on Twitter and Instagram!

the two companies that changed their logo for pride this year are:

  • Pfizer

  • AbbVie (puerto-rican subsidiary only, instagram only)

pretty sad crop if you ask me. maybe next year will be better!