🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Mini
69
Ṁ15k
Dec 2
29%
Other
19%
Yulia Navalnaya
15%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
5%
UNRWA
5%
Donald Trump
3%
Julian Assange
3%
NATO
1.8%
David Attenborough
1.4%
Antonio Guterres
1.4%
Greta Thunberg
1.3%
Bill Gates / Gates Foundation
1.3%
Vladimir Putin

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reposted

Just added Manifold, I'm sure we can do it! 💪

@TheAllMemeingEye

I'm sure that's just hedging, our victory is inevitable

bought Ṁ5 Other YES

There seem to be 2 entries for international court of justice, is one of them meant to be international criminal court?

sold Ṁ51 Julian Assange NO
bought Ṁ50 Donald Trump NO

Assuming this splits equally among all winners? I'd recommend resolving to "Other" for all portions that are not listed at market close! So like, let's say it's joint between Donald Trump, Elon Musk, and JD Vance, but only the first two are listed at market close, resolving 33/33/33 between Trump, Musk, and Other? Or you could get around this by just adding the winning option and resolving, when it becomes known?

bought Ṁ100 Answer #sgz0NUS92h NO

@bens lol @strutheo did you add Vance because of this?

bought Ṁ30 David Attenborough NO

@bens sounds good. or ill just add them,y eah