Will Kamala Harris be the first woman president of the USA before the end of 2028?
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If elected or the president dying while she is vice president and then being approved as President, this resolves yes

if she wins the 2028 election this resolves YES

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics๏ธ Politics๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 2024 US Presidential ElectionDemocratic PartyJoe Biden
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biden dropped out

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jd vance bump

sold แน€69 NO

Roughly identical market to https://manifold.markets/zaperrer/will-kamala-harris-be-president-by

bought แน€10 NO

I'm guessing her interrim presidency while Biden got a colinoscopy didn't count, so Biden dying while she's VP also doesn't?

If Biden dies and she becomes president this will resolve yes

opened a แน€100 NO at 50% order

I see the chances of this as rather identical to her chances of getting the Dem nomination, because I feel the chance of Trump beating her in a general is about the same as the chance of Biden beating Trump and then dying in office

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