Will marijuana be federally descheduled from a Schedule 1 illegal drug in the USA before the end of 2025?
Will marijuana be federally descheduled from a Schedule 1 illegal drug in the USA before the end of 2025?
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81
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15%
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Changing from Schedule 1 to anything else of lower level will resolve this YES
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@JonathanRay the latest news is that there is conflict over the select of Matt Gaetz within
Trump's team. Elon wants someone else as AG.
bought แน1,000 YES
Wait why is this not at >90%? As the guy holding a lot of the no in the various 2024 versions of this market, I think it's purely a question of timing. It's definitely happening.
I guess there's still a chance that when Trump comes in, he goes back on this issue out of spite for Biden. His policy for the first six months of the previous administration was to undo every thing that Obama did that was not a law.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEightโs performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with
Sweepcash (๐) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
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