Will SpaceX land a human on the Moon before they land a human on Mars?
Plus
46
แน27k2029
84%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve YES if they successfully launch a mission to the moon and land a living human on it.
Will also resolve YES if a joint-partner with NASA or another space agency.
Get แน1,000 play money
Sort by:
@strutheo I dont understand how you'll judge that. Can you give some examples? Is "landing on the moon in a Starship" not enough help?
@Mqrius this is meant to test if spacex will land a mission on the moon, not just if they sell a ship to nasa that they use. so if they help on the mission in a joint capacity, yes i will count this.
Related questions
Related questions
Will SpaceX successfully conduct a crewed mission to Mars before 2035?
11% chance
Will SpaceX land on the MOON by Dec 31st 2029?
40% chance
Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
61% chance
Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
26% chance
Will the first human landing on Mars take place before the next human landing on the Moon?
3% chance
Will SpaceX deliver the next set of human astronauts to the lunar surface?
40% chance
Will NASA land a person on the moon before 2026?
1% chance
When will SpaceX land humans on Mars?
2040
Will SpaceX put their HLS lander on the Moon by end of 2025?
1% chance
Will humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
35% chance