Will Trump strip USA citizenship from at least one full citizen by the end of the year?
130
Ṁ20k
resolved Jul 7
Resolved
YES

  • Update 2025-03-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Full Citizenship Definition:

    • Both naturalized and natural-born citizens are included as full citizens.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ1,042
2Ṁ100
3Ṁ99
4Ṁ97
5Ṁ93
Sort by:

lol polymarket did it, also used the term 'full', and havent resolved it yet

https://polymarket.com/event/trump-revokes-any-us-citizenship-by-december-31

@MachiNi totally bodied us on profit share

bought Ṁ500 YES

There are apparently several cases every year. Numbers have increased under Obama and then Trump I. The surprise would be if the number was zero in 2025.

@MachiNi I was surprised too didn't know it was this frequent

@strutheo cases filed, according to Claude (success rate information not publicly available):

The data shows a dramatic shift from the historical norm:

• Pre-2008: Extremely rare, averaging 1-6 cases per year

• Obama Era: Introduction of digital tools led to systematic review but restrained approach

• Trump Era: Massive escalation with 168 total cases and significant resource allocation

• Biden Era: Reduced but continued activity with 64 cases

• Trump Return: Renewed aggressive prioritization with expanded criteria

From 1990-2017, the DOJ filed 305 denaturalization cases, about 11 per year. The number has surged since President Trump’s first term Axios, representing a fundamental shift from denaturalization being used primarily against war criminals to a broader immigration enforcement tool.

bought Ṁ500 YES

@MachiNi looks like it has been ordered but still pending afaik, should resolve soon

filled a Ṁ30 YES at 99.0% order

@MachiNi wow I just went from "that would be insane I'm not sure even Trump would go that far" to "oh okay, makes sense that that would happen sometimes, i hope Trump doesn't do it when it's not called for"

What do you mean by "full citizen"? Naturalized? Or just natural-born?

@Marnix both

bought Ṁ10 YES