Will Houston have a strong tornado in 2024?
Mini
5
Ṁ78
2025
45%
chance
2024 begins
One of the first US tornadoes of 2024 occurs 60 miles northeast of Houston.

This question resolves YES by March 31, 2025 on the event that at least one strong tornado occurs in the Greater Houston MSA (see map) in the year 2024.

A qualifying tornado must 1) reach at least EF-2 (111+ mph) at some point during its lifecycle, and 2) touch down on land within the Greater Houston boundaries at some point during its lifecycle.

The tornado must be confirmed by the latest NOAA Storm Events Database update. The market may remain open three months after the end of 2024 to allow for all 2024 NOAA data to be certified. (Tornadoes after December 31, 2024 do not qualify, even if the market is still open.)

Greater Houston has recorded two strong tornadoes since 2020, both of which occurred on January 24, 2023.

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There is at least one more fair chance for tornadoes in the Houston area this evening as the end of the season draws closer.

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Active tornado watch in the metro area.

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Mild chance for tornadoes over next 24h

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NOAA is forecasting potential severe weather along the Northern Gulf today, 1/8. There is a chance for strong tornadoes east of I-45.