Will the Department of Government Efficiency lead to at least 100,000 federal government layoffs by 4th of July 2026?
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2026
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  • Update 2025-08-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Buy-outs will not be counted toward the total; only other cuts/layoffs will count.

    • Only layoffs that sustain past any court orders will be counted (layoffs later blocked or reversed by courts will not count).

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Sorry for the weak resolution criteria - open to any suggestions for concrete sources I should consider using. I should have better anticipated a world where there would be a large range in estimates, with no unambiguous authoritative source.

@venki how is this being measured?

@polymathematic I'm not quite sure, I'm going to need to end up finding better sources, open to ideas from commentators.

Estimates seem to range 50k-290k.
I would not by default include buy-outs, but only other cuts or layoffs, that do manage to sustain past any court orders.