MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Ukraine and Russia have a cease-fire or peace before 2026?
Mini
51
αΉ€4907
2026
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves YES if there is a cease-fire or peace treaty between the two countries (even briefly) before 2026.

Otherwise resolves NO.

️ WarsπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Ukraine-Russia warUkraineπŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί RussiaUkraine Counteroffensive
Get αΉ€1,000 play money
1 Comment
Sort by:
opened a αΉ€50 NO at 45% order

Arbitrage

Related questions

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?
20% chance
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
20% chance
Will Russia and Ukraine announce a ceasefire with an intended duration of at least 28 days before October 1st, 2025?
11% chance
Will Russia/Ukraine break their ceasefire before the end of 2025?
32% chance
Will the war between Russia and Ukraine end in 2025?
13% chance
Will the war in Ukraine end before 2026
9% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2026?
-5% 1d44% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2026?
38% chance
Will Ukraine reach a peace treaty with Russia before the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?
29% chance

Related questions

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?
20% chance
Will the war in Ukraine end before 2026
9% chance
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
20% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2026?
44% chance
Will Russia and Ukraine announce a ceasefire with an intended duration of at least 28 days before October 1st, 2025?
11% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2026?
38% chance
Will Russia/Ukraine break their ceasefire before the end of 2025?
32% chance
Will Ukraine reach a peace treaty with Russia before the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will the war between Russia and Ukraine end in 2025?
13% chance
Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?
29% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout