Will the room-temperature superconductor results of Lee et. al be reproduced by the end of 2024?
Plus
160
Ṁ510kresolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
See https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.12008.
Resolves "yes" if reproduced by independent researchers unaffiliated with the authors of this paper and published in a reputable peer-reviewed journal before the start of 2025 UTC.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ897 | |
| 2 | Ṁ742 | |
| 3 | Ṁ595 | |
| 4 | Ṁ550 | |
| 5 | Ṁ336 |
Sort by:
@ParthKolekar I don't see how this market could resolve early unless the original publishers admit new facts or withdraw it
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2026?
1% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2028?
6% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2029?
8% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2027?
3% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2034?
19% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2040?
41% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2032?
13% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2031?
11% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2100?
64% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2036?
26% chance