How many SpaceX Starship launches will there be in 2025?
Mini
26
แน€3719
2026
99%
4 or more
83%
5 or more
43%
6 or more
16%
7 or more
15%
8 or more
2%
10 or more
2%
9 or more
1%
15 or more
1%
20 or more
Resolved
YES
2 or more
Resolved
YES
3 or more

All markets that are true will resolve YES as they occur. I can add additional markets if most of the markets are resolved with much of the year left.

For 2024 see https://manifold.markets/wilsonkime/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-w-01827009d557

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@wilsonkime 2 or more can resolve.

bought แน€23 3 or more YES

@wilsonkime 3 or more can resolve.

bought แน€10 9 or more YES

File under "betting against Elon"

Adding more options since 5 or more is already at 76%

opened a แน€100 7 or more YES at 60% order

@wilsonkime ...keep adding lol