When will be the next election in Israel?
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36
แน€13k
2026
0.2%
2023
0.6%
2024 H1
0.7%
2024 H2
0.9%
2025 H1
3%
2025 H2
59%
2026 H1
36%
2026 H2

When will be the next general election to the Knesset, the Israeli parlament?

The scheduled date is 27 October 2026, but recent events and political instability may lead to dissolve of the Knesset and earlier elections.

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bought แน€50 2026 H1 YES

coalition crisis apparently averted in between the ultraorthodox and likud

reposted

Orthodox parties plan on dissolving the parliment [0], US is trying to stop it (Huckabee specifically) using Iran as the reasoning [1]. There has to be some complicated arb with will Israel strike Iran [2]. But I don't know what it is.

[0] https://www.ice.co.il/local-news/news/article/1068732

[1] https://13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/state-policy/ambassador-904617771/

[2] https://manifold.markets/DanielFox9fff/will-israel-strike-irans-nuclear-fa

@FergusArgyll [1] is definitely Netanyahu's doing

reposted

I've added some limit orders - anyone wanna fill them?

@FergusArgyll If you'd like to bet more, just let me know and I'll consider it depending on the magnitude and the price

Should the dates that passed already be resolved?

sold แน€73 2024 H1 NO

@Magyk ,How can I resolve only few of the options?

Welcome to Manifold! Great question