This market will resolve to the answer with the combination of the party of the president elected in the 2024 presidential elections and the average real GDP growth rate for the years 2025, 2026, 2027, and 2028.

If a third-party candidate wins the 2024 presidential election, this market will be canceled. Average GDP growth will be calculated as the geometric mean of annual inflation-adjusted GDP growth for each of the four years, as reported by Our World in Data, or another broadly reliable source if the data cannot be obtained via Our World in Data. I expect the data to be available at https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/real-gdp-growth?tab=chart&time=2025..2028&country=~USA, but if Our World in Data changes the format of their URLs the data may be found at a different URL.

After the election, when the other presidential election markets resolve, this market will resolve NO for the three answers with the party that didn't win the presidency. Anything that happens after that point doesn't affect that part of the final answer—the only part of the question left will be about GDP growth.