Who will win the race for Mayor of San Francisco in November 2024?
34
Ṁ11k
Dec 2
38%
London Breed
1.2%
Ahsha Safai
20%
Daniel Lurie
3%
Aaron Peskin
35%
Mark Farrell
2%
Other

Feel free to add markets for other contenders if relevant.

🇺🇸 US PoliticsCaliforniaSan FranciscoYIMBYMayoral Elections in the 50 largest U.S. cities
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
3 Comments
Sort by:
bought Ṁ201 Mark Farrell YES

Arb opportunity here with 4K subsidy
https://manifold.markets/Moscow25/who-will-the-san-francisco-mayoral

With the SF Dems for Change winning the DCCC last night, it seems likely that Breed will have the backing of the SF Democratic Party. I think that makes her election substantially more likely.

https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/mayor-london-breed-election-18678601.php

Related questions