When will the US have the first female President?
Mini
40
Ṁ3838
2032
10%
Before the end of 2024
55%
Before the end of 2025
55%
Before the end of 2026
56%
Before the end of 2027
56%
Before the end of 2028
68%
Before the end of 2029
68%
Before the end of 2030
68%
Before the end of 2031
76%
Before the end of 2032
91%
Before the end of 2036
91%
Before the end of 2040
91%
Before the end of 2044
91%
Before the end of 2048
91%
Before the end of 2052
55%
Before Joe Biden pass away
59%
Before Donald Trump pass away
87%
Before human land on mars
69%
Before human set foot on moon again
98.3%
Before the U.S. government collapses
99.7%
Before the U.S. has the second female president

Resolves Yes if a female president was elected or a female vice president became president due to the current president unable to perform his duty.

🇺🇸 US Politics🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential ElectionFirst Female POTUS
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bought Ṁ15 Before the end of 2024 YES

@AmmonLam This was at 36% but the description says “Resolves Yes if a female president was elected”. 36 is somewhat in between the chance of Kamala replacing Biden by EOY (<10%) and being elected this year and sworn in next year (~50%). I bet it up, but clarification would be helpful.

Before the U.S. has the second female president
bought Ṁ350 Before the U.S. has ... YES

If US started having duo president system, and two female president was elected at the same time, this will resolve No

@AmmonLam LOL

@AmmonLam Oh no, dual presidents is happening this year

bought Ṁ30 Before the end of 2026 NO

Elected or sworn in?

@redeagle Either one since it isnt specified

@Bayesian The description says "elected" but that always happens on a separate year than the swearing in and actually becoming president. Wondering for the year specified if we are counting elected without having been sworn in yet.

The formal tabulation doesn't happen until January, no?

Before Donald Trump pass away

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