Who will be the first female president of the U.S.?
Mini
38
แน€2241
2100
40%
Other
7%
Barbara Lee
6%
Gretchen Whitmer
6%
Deb Haaland
5%
Elizabeth Warren
5%
Kamala Harris
4%
Meghan Markle, Duchess of Sussex
4%
Nikki Haley
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
4%
Michelle Obama
3%
Krystal Ball
1.9%
Tammy Duckworth
1.7%
Carly Fiorina
1.4%
Stacey Abrams
1.2%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1.1%
Tammy Baldwin
1%
Kristi Noem
1%
Hillary Clinton

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics๏ธ PoliticsFirst Female POTUS
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See the replacement, non/parimutuel market here:

https://manifold.markets/PlasmaBallin/who-will-be-the-first-female-potus?r=SmltSGF5cw

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bought แน€10 Kamala Harris NO

Woah, this got converted into the new type? I guess it's just a duplicate of the other version now

See the replacement, non/parimutuel market here:

https://manifold.markets/PlasmaBallin/who-will-be-the-first-female-potus?r=SmltSGF5cw

can this be converted to the kind where I can go short Harris

@JonathanRay There is no shortable version of free response yet.

@JonathanRay Now we have one:

This market is a good demonstration of why we need some way to short answers in a free response market. There's a significant chance that the first female president isn't any of the current options, but there's no way to bet on that possibility.

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