MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
In what year will the Chinese nuclear arsenal reach parity with the US and Russians?
Mini
7
Ṁ360
2040
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0.8%
2024
4%
2025
5%
2026
5%
2027
7%
2028
10%
2029
22%
2030
46%
Other
🇨🇳 ChinaNuclear Risk
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
1 Comment
Sort by:

Let me know if you want the options extended to a specific year beyond 2030.

Related questions

Which countries will detonate a nuclear weapon offensively in 2025?
Will China test a nuclear weapon before the end of 2025?
9% chance
Russia launches a nuclear weapon in 2025?
2% chance
Will either China or the United States shoot down a manned aircraft belonging to the other one before 2025?
6% chance
Which countries will increase the size of their nuclear warhead stockpile in 2024?
Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030?
61% chance
Will the People’s Republic of China switch to a ‘launch on warning’ nuclear posture by 2028?
39% chance
Will China have a nuclear supertanker by 2027?
21% chance
Will Taiwan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
23% chance
Which countries will increase the size of their nuclear warhead stockpile in 2025?

Related questions

Which countries will detonate a nuclear weapon offensively in 2025?
Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030?
61% chance
Will China test a nuclear weapon before the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will the People’s Republic of China switch to a ‘launch on warning’ nuclear posture by 2028?
39% chance
Russia launches a nuclear weapon in 2025?
2% chance
Will China have a nuclear supertanker by 2027?
21% chance
Will either China or the United States shoot down a manned aircraft belonging to the other one before 2025?
6% chance
Will Taiwan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
23% chance
Which countries will increase the size of their nuclear warhead stockpile in 2024?
Which countries will increase the size of their nuclear warhead stockpile in 2025?
BrowseElectionNewsAbout