How many counties will Trump win in 2024?
14%
Between 2450 and 2500
14%
Between 2500 and 2550
14%
Between 2550 and 2600
14%
Between 2600 and 2650
14%
Between 2650 and 2700
14%
Between 2700 and 2750
14%
Between 2750 and 2800

For comparison, Trump won 2622 counties in 2016 and 2574 counties in 2020. Mitt Romney won 2420.


Get αΉ€1,000 play money
Sort by:

You're double-counting (or not counting) the boundary numbers. And there's no "Other" so people have to bet treating the possibility of <2450 as 0% likely