Will Manifold be more accurate a month after the pivot
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Ṁ418Jun 2
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Resolves according to https://manifold.markets/calibration if you click learn more you will see an exact brier score. If a month after the pivot the brier score is lower than the day of the pivot. Unless there is a paper on manifold's calibration comparing the month before and after the pivot and I am convinced it is accurate I will resolve according to that.
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Any word on a resolution for this market? Presumably @JamesF has a value for what the brier score was on 1 May? Internet Archive is letting me down on this one...
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