Will the US sustain more than 100 casualties in 2025 as a result of the conflict with Iran?
22
Ṁ1073Dec 30
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to yes, if, by the end of 2025, credible news sources report that the US sustained more than 100 civilian or military casualties (dead or wounded) directly linked to the conflict with Iran.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be American soldiers in Iran before 2026?
9% chance
Will there be a war between the US and Iran before January 2026?
5% chance
Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?
93% chance
Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?
2% chance
Will the U.S. strike Iran’s oil or gas infrastructure by August 31, 2025?
44% chance
Will Iranian government action cause the deaths of at least 10 Americans within the borders of the US in 2025?
18% chance
100 US troop killed in action with Iran by April 2026?
6% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
10% chance
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will the U.S. launch a ground invasion against Iran in 2025?
9% chance