Trump approval rating 45.0% or higher on April 20th?
188
Ṁ35k
Apr 23
79%
chance

Market will resolve to YES if 45.0% or higher of Americans approve of Donald Trump's performance dated April 20th, 2025 on Nate Silver's approval tracker located here at Silver Bulletin: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin

To account for any lag in aggregation or tracker updating, the data will be checked three days later on April 23rd, 2025.

In the event that the Silver Bulletin tracker is no longer available or updated, the RCP tracker here will be used as a substitute: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating

️ Politics🇺🇸 US PoliticsTrumpRepublican PartyTrump's Second Term
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Will you be verifying the Apr 20 average on the 23rd, or will the average on Apr 23 be what you use to resolve?

@Jubs above question
Also if there is no new data values over easter weekend, do you use
The value shown for April 20th as it is displayed on 23rd, or
the nearest date that has a new data value, or
The first new data value after April 20th, or
something else (e,g, like first value for 20th shown on 21st.) ?

opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 30% order

@Panfilo I put some limit orders at 30, feel free to fill them

@Fay42 missed them, but mine at 25 is still up

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