
Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2025? ( >= week)
Plus
12
Ṁ3717Dec 31
1D
1W
1M
ALL
46%
Antropic
25%
DeepSeek
20%
Meta
16%
Other
10%
Alibaba
7%
Mistral
7%
NexusFlow
Resolved
YESGoogle
Resolved
YESxAI
For any company to resolve YES, they must achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI’s best model on the leaderboards https://lmarena.ai/.
see https://manifold.markets/Soli/which-companies-will-achieve-a-high?play=true for 2024
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Google
@LCBOB resolves YES, xAI too https://manifold.markets/HenriThunberg/who-will-ever-rank-1-in-lmsys-chatb
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