Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai), specifically the company with the highest Text Arena score in the Math category.

In the case of a tie, all companies tied for 1st place resolve to equal probability, such that they sum to 100%.

Ranking as of Aug 19, 2025:

See also:

Which company has best AI model end of 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)

/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model
/Bayesian/who-will-have-the-best-texttoimage-SO0uN6suuS

/Bayesian/who-will-have-the-best-texttovideo-AtZ0CdIc8Z

/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-computer

/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-vision-ai-en

/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-search-ai-mo