My manifold net worth in one year?
6
Ṁ191
2026

Invalid contract

This market will resolve to my mana net worth on August 1, 2026.

Inspiration: I want to see if I can use a market like this to get faster feedback on my bets, or if the bettors on this market have different ideas than bettors on the platform in general (those who bet on the markets I will participate in.) Additionally, I want to see how this market performs as a basket of the markets that I invest in.

Some cool markets I would make if I could afford them might be:
- Markets for other, more wealthy users' net worth
- Markets for my net worth at different times
- Markets for when I pass a certain net worth

I have become quite addicted to this platform over the summer and intend to continue using it. It is possible that I will become too busy with school or be distracted by something else, but I don't think that is an extremely likely.
I do not intend to purchase any mana for real money.

I profited a decent percent of my net worth (ignoring the daily bonus) in the July month, and I think I will continue to do so in the future. The greatest amount of my net worth increase has come from daily bonuses, and it is likely that that will remain the case for some time--but maybe not the whole year--given that I stay active on the platform.

I will count gifts toward my net worth, though I considered not doing so, because people could still manipulate markets that I am in for my benefit (and I wouldn't mind free mana.)

If >8000 has a high chance, I will add more thresholds.

I will not bet on this market so as to avoid weird paradoxes, and I will discount the bonus for each trader on this market if that becomes a problem.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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Is there not a way to add more options to numeric markets? :(

@MaxE None that I know of. 🫤