Will Russia formally cede any territory before 2025?
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resolved Jan 1
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NO

This market resolves Yes if Russia officially states that any territory it regrads as part of the country at the start of 2023 is not part of Russia anymore before January 1, 2025. This question is not about actual control or third-party recognition.

The obvious candidates are the newly annexed regions (Donetsk, Kherson, Luhansk and Zaporizhzhia oblasts) and Crimea.

See also:

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Ukraine-Russia warπŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί RussiaUkraine
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Russian military has acknowledged publicly the evacuation of each city both before and after it was retaken by Ukraine. I believe there are rules of war that necessitate it. Would that not resolve YES?

@BTE No, this question is not about control but rather formal cessation. Russia has left Kherson, for example, but still considers the city to be a part of Russia.

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