MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will "AGI Denial/Denialism" become a commonly used term before 2031?
➕
Plus
22
Ṁ1809
2031
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

AGIAGI Denial
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
2 Comments
Sort by:

https://x.com/jachiam0/status/1858033399107301609

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_effect

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2035?
58% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
1% chance
Will we get AGI before 2036?
64% chance
Will we get AGI before 2033?
51% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
1% chance
Will we get AGI before 2034?
54% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
16% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
26% chance
Will we get AGI before 2037?
69% chance
Will a major lab officially declare AGI before the end of 2025?
6% chance

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2035?
58% chance
Will we get AGI before 2034?
54% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
1% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
16% chance
Will we get AGI before 2036?
64% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
26% chance
Will we get AGI before 2033?
51% chance
Will we get AGI before 2037?
69% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
1% chance
Will a major lab officially declare AGI before the end of 2025?
6% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout