Will the Republican win Texas's 2026 Senate race, conditional on D/R nominees?
8
Ṁ2079
2026
71%
If the nominees are Cornyn and Talarico
89%
If the nominees are Cornyn and Crockett
54%
If the nominees are Paxton and Talarico
71%
If the nominees are Paxton and Crockett

If the nominees stated in an answer are not the final nominees, the answer N/As

An answer resolves YES if the listed nominees are accurate and the Republican (Cornyn or Paxton) wins the election. It resolves NO if the listed nominees are accurate and the Democrat (Talarico or Crockett) wins the election.

inb4 people end up trading on who they expect to be nominated

Trump's Second TermTexasU.S. CongressUS Senate2026 Midterms
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bought Ṁ30 If the nominees are ... NO

trying a new market format since this senate race seems heavily dependent on who each party nominates. Three of the four answers will N/A after the primaries are done.

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