MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will the Iranian regime survive the date it predicted for Israel's destruction?
Mini
6
Ṁ187
2040
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

The Iranian regime has a big countdown clock to Israel's destruction, claiming it will be destroyed by September 9 2040.

Will the Iranian regime survive to or beyond that date, or will the rule of the ayatollahs be overthrown first?

Inspired by https://manifold.markets/5bd4/will-israel-survive-the-date-khamen

IranMiddle East🇮🇱 IsraelArab-Israeli Conflict🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Will Iran experience regime change in 2025?
14% chance
Will Iran’s current government be overthrown, removed, or collapse before January 2026?
-6% 1d16% chance
Will Iran hit Israel within 1 month of being attacked by them?
44% chance
Will Iran hit Israel within 2 months of being attacked by them?
45% chance
Will Iran hit Israel within 6 months of being attacked by them?
+5% 1d53% chance
Will Iran’s regime fall in 2025?
-4% 1d16% chance
If Ali Khamenei is killed by EOY2025, will Israel claim credit within 3 months?
Will Israel survive the date Khamenei predicted for its destruction?
92% chance
Will Iran hit Israel within 8 months of being attacked by them?
+5% 1d53% chance
Will Iran hit Israel within 9 months of being attacked by them?
51% chance

Related questions

Will Iran experience regime change in 2025?
14% chance
Will Iran’s regime fall in 2025?
16% chance
Will Iran’s current government be overthrown, removed, or collapse before January 2026?
16% chance
If Ali Khamenei is killed by EOY2025, will Israel claim credit within 3 months?
Will Iran hit Israel within 1 month of being attacked by them?
44% chance
Will Israel survive the date Khamenei predicted for its destruction?
92% chance
Will Iran hit Israel within 2 months of being attacked by them?
45% chance
Will Iran hit Israel within 8 months of being attacked by them?
53% chance
Will Iran hit Israel within 6 months of being attacked by them?
53% chance
Will Iran hit Israel within 9 months of being attacked by them?
51% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout