MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Iran nuke Israel before the end of 2025?
➕
Plus
46
Ṁ24k
2026
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves YES if a nuclear weapon coming from Iran detonates or is intercepted in Israeli airspace before 2025.

️ WarsIranMiddle East🇮🇱 IsraelArab-Israeli Conflict
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
2 Comments
Sort by:
bought Ṁ500 NO

The market close date is 1 January 2026 but the title says "Before 2025" which suggests it should resolve 1 January 2025. Is this a typo or intentional?

@zsig oops I meant the end of 2025, sorry @traders for the ambiguity, fixing that now!!

Related questions

Will Iran obtain a nuke in 2025?
7% chance
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Israel topple the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran by the end of 2025?
15% chance
Will Iran use nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030?
6% chance
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?
8% chance
US nukes Iran in 2025?
3% chance
Will Iran assemble a nuclear bomb before January 2026?
9% chance
Will Israel deploy a tactical nuclear weapon against Iran’s nuclear facility before January 2026?
4% chance
Will Iran test a nuclear bomb before January 2026?
7% chance

Related questions

Will Iran obtain a nuke in 2025?
7% chance
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?
8% chance
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?
8% chance
US nukes Iran in 2025?
3% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Iran assemble a nuclear bomb before January 2026?
9% chance
Will Israel topple the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran by the end of 2025?
15% chance
Will Israel deploy a tactical nuclear weapon against Iran’s nuclear facility before January 2026?
4% chance
Will Iran use nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030?
6% chance
Will Iran test a nuclear bomb before January 2026?
7% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout