Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?
Plus
63
Ṁ24k2026
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, including reporting on weapons tests (reports that they had the weapon to perform the test are sufficient; they do not need to still be in possession of another one).
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
35% chance
Will Iran’s regime fall in 2025?
18% chance
Will Iran obtain a nuke in 2025?
7% chance
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?
8% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
10% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?
17% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?
35% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?
39% chance
Will Iran nuke Israel before the end of 2025?
2% chance