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Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?
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2026
7%
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Resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, including reporting on weapons tests (reports that they had the weapon to perform the test are sufficient; they do not need to still be in possession of another one).

IranNuclear RiskNuclear Weapons
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Now with 2026 version:

/EvanDaniel/will-iran-acquire-a-nuclear-weapon-0LzRhnhyPd

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