Will the US invade Yemen in 2024? | Manifold

Will the US invade Yemen in 2024?

20

Ṁ1112

Jan 1

11%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Invade = boots on the ground. An invasion by an international coalition that includes US troops counts.

🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election 🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict ️ Wars Geopolitics U.S. Congress Yemen

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predicts YES

Strikes, Yes
Invasion, nope (still plenty of time in 2024!)

10k limit order on no

What's the minimum number of soldiers that would resolve this? Would SEAL raids count?

Authorized by Congress only? Or like NATO support or similar?

@SirCryptomind NATO stuff would count, as long as it includes US troops

@Shump Thanks!

Limit order at 10%

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