Will there be a greater than 25% chance that America losses democracy status under Trump at midterm elections?
9
Ṁ1192026
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves based on the time weighted average probability of my own market (linked below) throughout the full week before 2026 midterm elections. If there is above a 25% value on the contract concerning the Freedom House deeming America as 'not free' this market will resolve YES, if the weighted average is below 25% than NO.
Update 2025-12-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has embedded a link to the underlying market that will be used to determine resolution. This market will resolve based on the time-weighted average probability of that linked market during the full week before the 2026 midterm elections.
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