What will happen in 2024? [Movies & Series Edition πŸŽ₯ ]
Mini
35
αΉ€7969
Dec 31
85%
'Dune: Part 3' gets official release year
78%
Christopher Nolan announced a new film as director.
74%
Season 4 of 'Only Murders in the Building' is released (at least one episode)
69%
Disclaimer gets a 80+% on Rotten Tomatoes after the first season
65%
'Speak No Evil' remake gets better IMBD score than 2022 original (1 month after release)
62%
3 Movies with $1Bn+ Worldwide Box Office
50%
It will be revealed that Tomm Moore is directing a new movie
50%
Horizon: An American Saga, Chapter 2 is released in US cinemas
50%
'Dune: Prophecy' achieves a score of 80%+ on 'Rotten Tomatoes' one month after it's premiere.
35%
Gladiator Sequel Will Be Better Than Joker: Folie Γ  Deux (IMDB score)
32%
At the end of the year "The War of the Rohirrim" has a <6.0 score on IMDB
20%
A legal case involving a movie or show is heard by the US Supreme Court
19%
Mickey 17 gets delayed again (release later than January 2025)
16%
Plans for a 'Birth of a Nation' cinematic re-release, remaster, remake, reboot, sequel, or prequel are officially announced
13%
Mufasa: The Lion King Will Be The Highest-Grossing Film in their first 4 weeks after release
8%
An actor gets killed on a movie set
Resolved
YES
'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' achieves a score of 80%+ on 'Rotten Tomatoes' one month after its release.
Resolved
YES
'3 Body Problem' achieves a score of 80%(+) on 'Rotten Tomatoes' one month after it's release.
Resolved
YES
'Deadpool & Wolverine' grosses $1Bn worldwide
Resolved
YES
Deadpool 3 Will Become Highest-Grossing R-Rated Movie Ever

Feel free to add answers :)

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  • If celebrity or another ambiguous term must be used, and the details aren't sufficient, the Manifold community will be polled to determine the resolution of those questions.

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bought αΉ€494 Answer #fb992b3a38a6 NO

Season 2 of House of the Dragon ended this Sunday, the question about that should be resolved.

bought αΉ€422 Answer #fb992b3a38a6 NO

Done!

'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' achieves a score of 80%+ on 'Rotten Tomatoes' one month after its release.
bought αΉ€369 'Furiosa: A Mad Max ... YES

@TheWabiSabi it's one month after release, resolves YES

Yes, you are quick ;)

@TheWabiSabi really close at the moment 8.1 vs 8.0

bought αΉ€50 Answer #b31c0d579b2c NO

@TheWabiSabi resolves NO. it's may 7th, and the audience score is 40%

is this "exactly 1 movie"? or if 2 movies gross >$1B, does that resolve YES as well?

bought αΉ€20 Answer #6386722e9dbb NO

The studio is aiming for $20M opening weekend and opening weekend should be well over 20% of total. Even if this was $100M I would bet no

bought αΉ€20 Answer #6386722e9dbb NO

@CharlieBauer easy bet

Mufasa: The Lion King Will Be The Highest-Grossing Film in their first 4 weeks after release
bought αΉ€20 Mufasa: The Lion Kin... NO

Is this worldwide? (And I assume "by the end of its box office run", not "within 2024"?)

@Ziddletwix updated the name

@TheWabiSabi Ok got it re: worldwide, but is this "in 2024" or "released in 2024"? Mufasa releases at the end of 2024, so much of its gross will occur in 2025.

@Ziddletwix could change it to 'in the first month after release'. Maybe that better?

@TheWabiSabi Up to you!

Plans for a 'Birth of a Nation' cinematic re-release, remaster, remake, reboot, sequel, or prequel are officially announced
bought αΉ€10 Plans for a 'Birth o... NO

Some notes:

  • A documentary about it wouldn't count

  • The announcement must be unironic and by a studio that has previously successfully produced cinematically released media

  • It can, and hopefully would, have a message the opposite of the original movie

An actor gets killed on a movie set
sold αΉ€10 An actor gets killed... NO

β€œGet’s killed” does any cause of death count? I.e. kill’s themselves, old age, Covid, etc? And does it just mean β€œwhile making a movie?” Or must the death occur on set

@Ziddletwix on the movie set. So if someone dies from covid on the set, it counts.