Manifold users agree first announced AGI is AGI?
15
Ṁ13002035
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If a major AI lab announces they have achieved AGI, a second market will be run, with the question “Is [claimed AGI] AGI by your definition?”
The second market will resolve one week after the claimed AGI becomes publicly accessible.
This market resolves to the same answer as the future market.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2029?
42% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
43% chance
Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?
When will manifold users think we have AGI? [Resolves to a majority yes in poll]
Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?
When Manifold's AGI countdown resolves YES, will Manifold users think that AGI really has been achieved?
54% chance
Will we get AGI before 2046?
85% chance
When will AGI be developed and released to the public?
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred?
34% chance