Alireza reached 2800 rating in 2021 as the youngest player ever and he was ranked #2. But since then he had been struggling and dropped as low as 2737 after Candidates. Recently he gained some points back and is currently at 2745 in live ratings (rank 13). At this moment he would need to gain 22 points to reach top 5, but that can change. Can he bounce back and get up to top 5 before the end of 2025 (1.5 years)?
Resolves YES if Alireza is rated top 5 in classical chess on any official FIDE rating list before 2026 (last one is the rating list for December 2025).
Alireza's FIDE page: https://ratings.fide.com/profile/12573981
Alireza jumped to #6 on the last ratings list after a strong FIDE Grand Swiss, but he's at #8 now on the live ratings now with both Giri and Keymer having overtaken him (although Giri is basically tied).
He's not playing the FIDE World Cup either, so it seems that his best hope to making it to #5 is to have the 3 people currently ahead of him lose rating points.