Tons of arb markets (just too many), listed here for convenience. Keep in mind different resolution conditions.
80k
/itsTomekK/2024-will-bitcoin-reach-80000
/AmmonLam/will-bitcoin-price-surpass-80000-be
/pa/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-hit-80000
/NathanDickson/will-bitcoin-reach-80000-in-2024
/predyx_markets/will-bitcoin-reach-80k-in-2024
/strutheo/will-bitcoin-reach-80k-by-the-end-o
90k
/pa/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-hit-90000
/AmmonLam/will-bitcoin-price-surpass-90000-be
/itsTomekK/2024-will-bitcoin-reach-90000
/NathanDickson/will-bitcoin-reach-90000-in-2024
100k
/pa/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-hit-10000
/MichaelBetenson/will-bitcoin-exceed-100000-usd-in-2
/ChristopherBohn/will-bitcoin-reach-100000-by-the-en
/itsTomekK/2024-will-bitcoin-reach-100000
/AviSchwartz/will-bitcoin-rally-to-100000-before
/GAMINGJOHN/will-bitcoin-hit-100000-before-the
/bitSanjay/will-bitcoin-reach-100k-in-2024
/predyx_markets/will-bitcoin-reach-107k-in-2024
/AndyMartin/will-the-value-of-bitcoin-pass-100k
/NathanDickson/will-bitcoin-reach-100000
/MichaelMorahan/will-bitcoin-hit-100k-before-jan-1s
/FedorShabashev/will-bitcoin-sustain-100k-for-a-day (note: sustain for a day)
/DanMan314/who-will-win-the-bet-on-bitcoin-hit (bet on blue for 100k)
/strutheo/what-will-happen-before-bitcoin-rea-d7850b51cf45 (EoY not there yet, still useful)
Ridiculous, Manifold is so silly sometimes…
@AnT Because this is dependent MC, none of the options can be resolved before the end of the year, when the correct one gets resolved Y and all others N.
@bitSanjay Which source will you use to resolve? Thanks.
@bitSanjay Thanks. On the bitcoin price page there, I can only find the 24h max price (today’s $73604) but that number will be lower by tomorrow and all future dates if it doesn’t make a new high by then, so we would have to keep track of the max, every day throughout the rest of the year.
However, notice on the bottom left it mentions “Data provided by CoinGecko” so going there and scrolling down a bit I was able to open a hidden pane “Show Historical Price” where the all time high is provided. I’m sure this way it should be easier to track at the end of the year.
